Ed Vaizey, the former culture minister, was quoted recently in the Torygraph as saying the arts Establishment in Britain was suffering from relentlessly Left-wing groupthink. As someone who's laboured in this field in a minor capacity, my response to this apercu was of the No-Shit-Sherlock variety.
That's why, after five years blogging under my real name, with a modest but growing readership, I've finally become too worried about who might be reading it, and opted instead for the title Voice of Peason (Peason being Molesworth's "grate friend" in How To Be Topp, and other deathless titles from the pens of Geoffrey Willans and Ronald Searle).
It's a shame that Britain now has to be like this.
Artists are prone to Left-wingery for a variety of reasons. They - we - want to be nice. We're concerned with morality. We wish resolutely to create and interpret the world on our own terms. Those terms do not necessarily include close study of the externalities, which can get in the way of our vision. We also find the sobering nuts and bolts of economics somewhat tedious; I used to be the same, but then I became interested and have never looked back. As Mrs Thatcher said, the facts of life are Conservative.
Why is it that the Left hate the Tories so much? Despite thirty years as a Lefty, I still can't answer that satisfactorily. I suppose I thought the Tories were mean, favoured the rich and hated the poor. If that were true it would make Conservatives eminently dislikeable. In fact because the Tories tend to run the economy better than Labour they provide more jobs, and because they are more tight-fisted they tend to run public services on a more sustainable basis. But these are arguments that, in my experience, no-one on the Left wants to hear. Speaking to friends I detect a refuge taken in self-righteousness, as if the more they hate the Tories for their alleged heartlessness the better it makes them feel about themselves.
So what do I believe, and do my beliefs make me repellent?
I am in favour of free-speech unless it threatens or might cause violence; I don't believe anyone has the right not to be offended.
I believe we can't afford our public services in an age when we're living well into our 80s; in the long run the country must live within its means.
I don't care what colour someone's skin is, but I do care very much what they do, and I don't think we should be afraid of saying we don't like someone's culture. I'm baffled why we let into Britain so many people who persist in clinging to the practices which made their own countries such a mess.
I don't think we should be ashamed of our imperial past which, as well as much that's bad, included action to stop slavery and exporting some of the best aspects of our culture; we always need to ask what the countries we colonised would have been like if we had left them alone.
I'm opposed to Scottish independence because it would make Scots dramatically poorer, but I'm pleased we voted to leave the EU because whilst it benefits me, I can see around me all the time the deleterious consequences of uncontrolled migration for people at the bottom end of British society.
If these views sound anathema, please don't deprive yourself of the opportunity to listen to someone who disagrees with you.
Thursday 3 November 2016
brexit reflections 14 - the High Court rules on Article 50
So at mid-day today the High Court has ruled that the Government must get Parliamentary approval to invoke Article 50. What are we to make of this?
The most obvious consequence will be to slow down the Brexit process. The Government's appeal to the Supreme Court won't come to a conclusion till January. If HMG loses, there may have to be an Act of Parliament, which can be held up by MPs or by the Lords. Clauses could be inserted which tie the Government's hands, and it might even be defeated altogether. Mrs May's stated intention of invoking Article 50 by March looks dead in the water. Months of uncertainty await.
Twitter has been awash with gleeful Remainers, pointing out how funny it is that Leavers, having so desperately wanted Parliamentary sovereignty, have been effectively hoist by their own petard. Parliament, the Court has said, is sovereign, and the Royal Prerogative does not extend to overturning Parliament's 1972 legislation putting Britain into the EEC (as it then was).
There are two responses to this, one glib and one more complex. The glib one is that it is also of course comic to see Remainers, happy to see Parliament's sovereignty eroded by EU membership, trumpeting its merits from the rooftops when it suits them.
The more subtle point is that by having a Referendum at all Parliament deliberately chose to step outside our system of representative democracy. It went directly for the democratic jugular. The Court's statement that Parliament is sovereign looks weak and irrelevant when you consider that sovereignty only arises because Parliament has a mandate from the people. No electoral mandate in my lifetime has ever been as specific as that delivered on 23rd June.
Parties run for election on an extensive electoral programme and it is a rare voter that likes everything about the party he votes for. The Brexit referendum was about one issue only however, and Leave won.
Just how exactly, in circumstances where a one-issue Referendum has given the Government a specific mandate, does Parliament's sovereignty trump the clearly expressed will of the people?
The truth is that by granting a Referendum in the first place Parliament opened up the possibility of a second form of democratic legitimacy, running alongside (and potentially in conflict with) the legitimacy of Parliament.
It's worth pausing a moment in this potential conflict to consider just how much of a mandate pro-Remain MPs actually have. I heard Labour MPs Keir Starmer and Pat McFadden on WATO this lunchtime arguing for Parliamentary approval for the triggering of Article 50. But both these men fought tooth and nail in the 2010 General Election to prevent any referendum happening. They lost. They then fought tooth and nail for the Remain campaign. They lost again. In what world do they think they should legitimately be able to delay or stop Article 50?
The same goes of course for the Lib Dems, SNP and Greens.
The historian Tom Holland summed up the present dilemma very well when he Tweeted, 'I'm wondering if Britain has ever before had to decide which is the more important: democracy or the rule of law'.
Ah yes, the law. The court decided, as I said, that the Royal Prerogative did not extend so far as to enable HMG to put in train a process which, after two years, must involve the nullification of the 1972 legislation (it could have circumvented this point by arguing that Art 50 could be revoked part way through, but apparently did not). Outwith the Prerogative, only Parliament can make or unmake UK law.
That's the theory. I am familiar from personal experience with the way the law works. What often happens is that the judges decide which party looks like the more meritorious and then tries to find a defensible legal way of finding for them. The three High Court Judges have said that their decision is not political, but these are men who will have had a view on Brexit long before they ever imagined they might find themselves being involved in such a life or death decision. Who are they and what do we know about their background?
Baron Thomas of Cwmgiedd is the Lord Chief Justice of England and Wales. He is one of the Founding Members of the European Law Institute, a non-profit organisation devoted to European legal development.
Lord Justice Sales, a.k.a Philip Sales QC, is an old friend and colleague of Tony Blair and Derry Irvine, those well-known Eurosceptics.
Sir Terence Etherton, the current Master of the Rolls, is the first High Court judge to enter into a civil partnership.
No doubt these three men did their very best to come to a fair decision on the law and facts. But their education, status, and financial and social position are typical of those who benefit from EU membership and who voted to Remain in it.
Lord Thomas should have recused himself from the bench for this case. The website of his brainchild, the European Law Institute, says it is devoted to 'better law-making in Europe and the enhancement of European legal integration'. It goes on to say that one of its core tasks is 'to evaluate and stimulate the development of EU law, legal policy, and practice, and in particular make proposals for the further development of the acquis and for the enhancement of EU law implementation by the Member States'.
And yet, amazingly, this man's verdict obstructs the path to Britain's leaving the EU. Who could have predicted that?
Justice may have been done, but it doesn't much look like it.
PS In the 24 hours after I wrote this I've come upon the utterances of three legal academics who say the Court got the law wrong. Mark Elliott, Professor of Public Law at Cambridge University writes that the conclusion "is highly contestable. Perhaps . . . the most surprising aspect of (the case) is that the confident certainty of the terms in which the judgment is framed obscures almost entirely the complexity and contestability of the questions to which it gives rise . . ." Ouch.
John Finnis, Professor of Law and Legal Philosophy at Oxford, points to clear parallels between the way that the Royal Prerogative is used to change the law in relation to some tax provisions and the manner in which European elections are called, on the one hand, and the way HMG proposed to trigger Article 50 on the other. In Prof Finnis' words "no one should doubt that notification under Article 50 of the The European Union can likewise (be done without any Parliamentary approval)." Prof Finnis doesn't appear to think much of HMG's legal team.
Thirdly barrister Carl Gardner writes, "the judgment is surprising, it's problematic, and I think it's wrongly decided". The High Court thinks that triggering Art 50 would change the law, and that the law can't be changed except by Parliament. But Gardner thinks that the Court is confused about this, and that the executive often does change the law without recourse to Parliament. Gardner's ringing conclusion is worth quoting at length - "If in 1972 Parliament really did end the government's power by prerogative to (as the court thinks) change UK law by doing anything that alters EU law, then surely every change to EU treaties agreed by Prime Ministers have been unlawful. Why, if this judgment stands, was it lawful for Mrs Thatcher to agree to the Single European Act? Why was it lawful for Mr Blair to sign up . . . to the Social Chapter. The High Court implies . . . that he had no prerogative power to do so. . . What power have ministers ever had to agree . . . to EU measures such as Directives that (as the High Court sees it) change the law in this country when adopted? It seems to me at least arguable that, according to the High Court, all of this was unlawful."
Gardner thinks the Supreme Court won't overturn the decision though.
PPS I've now read commentaries by seven (pro-Remain) legal academics. They all think the Court was wrong.
The most obvious consequence will be to slow down the Brexit process. The Government's appeal to the Supreme Court won't come to a conclusion till January. If HMG loses, there may have to be an Act of Parliament, which can be held up by MPs or by the Lords. Clauses could be inserted which tie the Government's hands, and it might even be defeated altogether. Mrs May's stated intention of invoking Article 50 by March looks dead in the water. Months of uncertainty await.
Twitter has been awash with gleeful Remainers, pointing out how funny it is that Leavers, having so desperately wanted Parliamentary sovereignty, have been effectively hoist by their own petard. Parliament, the Court has said, is sovereign, and the Royal Prerogative does not extend to overturning Parliament's 1972 legislation putting Britain into the EEC (as it then was).
There are two responses to this, one glib and one more complex. The glib one is that it is also of course comic to see Remainers, happy to see Parliament's sovereignty eroded by EU membership, trumpeting its merits from the rooftops when it suits them.
The more subtle point is that by having a Referendum at all Parliament deliberately chose to step outside our system of representative democracy. It went directly for the democratic jugular. The Court's statement that Parliament is sovereign looks weak and irrelevant when you consider that sovereignty only arises because Parliament has a mandate from the people. No electoral mandate in my lifetime has ever been as specific as that delivered on 23rd June.
Parties run for election on an extensive electoral programme and it is a rare voter that likes everything about the party he votes for. The Brexit referendum was about one issue only however, and Leave won.
Just how exactly, in circumstances where a one-issue Referendum has given the Government a specific mandate, does Parliament's sovereignty trump the clearly expressed will of the people?
The truth is that by granting a Referendum in the first place Parliament opened up the possibility of a second form of democratic legitimacy, running alongside (and potentially in conflict with) the legitimacy of Parliament.
It's worth pausing a moment in this potential conflict to consider just how much of a mandate pro-Remain MPs actually have. I heard Labour MPs Keir Starmer and Pat McFadden on WATO this lunchtime arguing for Parliamentary approval for the triggering of Article 50. But both these men fought tooth and nail in the 2010 General Election to prevent any referendum happening. They lost. They then fought tooth and nail for the Remain campaign. They lost again. In what world do they think they should legitimately be able to delay or stop Article 50?
The same goes of course for the Lib Dems, SNP and Greens.
The historian Tom Holland summed up the present dilemma very well when he Tweeted, 'I'm wondering if Britain has ever before had to decide which is the more important: democracy or the rule of law'.
Ah yes, the law. The court decided, as I said, that the Royal Prerogative did not extend so far as to enable HMG to put in train a process which, after two years, must involve the nullification of the 1972 legislation (it could have circumvented this point by arguing that Art 50 could be revoked part way through, but apparently did not). Outwith the Prerogative, only Parliament can make or unmake UK law.
That's the theory. I am familiar from personal experience with the way the law works. What often happens is that the judges decide which party looks like the more meritorious and then tries to find a defensible legal way of finding for them. The three High Court Judges have said that their decision is not political, but these are men who will have had a view on Brexit long before they ever imagined they might find themselves being involved in such a life or death decision. Who are they and what do we know about their background?
Baron Thomas of Cwmgiedd is the Lord Chief Justice of England and Wales. He is one of the Founding Members of the European Law Institute, a non-profit organisation devoted to European legal development.
Lord Justice Sales, a.k.a Philip Sales QC, is an old friend and colleague of Tony Blair and Derry Irvine, those well-known Eurosceptics.
Sir Terence Etherton, the current Master of the Rolls, is the first High Court judge to enter into a civil partnership.
No doubt these three men did their very best to come to a fair decision on the law and facts. But their education, status, and financial and social position are typical of those who benefit from EU membership and who voted to Remain in it.
Lord Thomas should have recused himself from the bench for this case. The website of his brainchild, the European Law Institute, says it is devoted to 'better law-making in Europe and the enhancement of European legal integration'. It goes on to say that one of its core tasks is 'to evaluate and stimulate the development of EU law, legal policy, and practice, and in particular make proposals for the further development of the acquis and for the enhancement of EU law implementation by the Member States'.
And yet, amazingly, this man's verdict obstructs the path to Britain's leaving the EU. Who could have predicted that?
Justice may have been done, but it doesn't much look like it.
PS In the 24 hours after I wrote this I've come upon the utterances of three legal academics who say the Court got the law wrong. Mark Elliott, Professor of Public Law at Cambridge University writes that the conclusion "is highly contestable. Perhaps . . . the most surprising aspect of (the case) is that the confident certainty of the terms in which the judgment is framed obscures almost entirely the complexity and contestability of the questions to which it gives rise . . ." Ouch.
John Finnis, Professor of Law and Legal Philosophy at Oxford, points to clear parallels between the way that the Royal Prerogative is used to change the law in relation to some tax provisions and the manner in which European elections are called, on the one hand, and the way HMG proposed to trigger Article 50 on the other. In Prof Finnis' words "no one should doubt that notification under Article 50 of the The European Union can likewise (be done without any Parliamentary approval)." Prof Finnis doesn't appear to think much of HMG's legal team.
Thirdly barrister Carl Gardner writes, "the judgment is surprising, it's problematic, and I think it's wrongly decided". The High Court thinks that triggering Art 50 would change the law, and that the law can't be changed except by Parliament. But Gardner thinks that the Court is confused about this, and that the executive often does change the law without recourse to Parliament. Gardner's ringing conclusion is worth quoting at length - "If in 1972 Parliament really did end the government's power by prerogative to (as the court thinks) change UK law by doing anything that alters EU law, then surely every change to EU treaties agreed by Prime Ministers have been unlawful. Why, if this judgment stands, was it lawful for Mrs Thatcher to agree to the Single European Act? Why was it lawful for Mr Blair to sign up . . . to the Social Chapter. The High Court implies . . . that he had no prerogative power to do so. . . What power have ministers ever had to agree . . . to EU measures such as Directives that (as the High Court sees it) change the law in this country when adopted? It seems to me at least arguable that, according to the High Court, all of this was unlawful."
Gardner thinks the Supreme Court won't overturn the decision though.
PPS I've now read commentaries by seven (pro-Remain) legal academics. They all think the Court was wrong.
Monday 24 October 2016
Phillip Blond - Red Tory redux
An excellent piece on the Res Publica website reprints an interview Phillip Blond, the man who dreamed up Red Toryism, gave to Le Figaro recently about Brexit. You can read the whole thing here, but here's a bit of cut-and-paste (Blond, I need scarcely add, is a Remainer).
Blond believes that had EU leaders like Juncker and Schulz behaved a bit more sensibly after the vote there might have been no need for Brexit at all. These EU mandarins pretty much killed off the Remain campaign with their hostility, he says. He points out that the much vaunted Four Freedoms (including freedom of movement) are far from absolute, and that France and Germany "have progressively vetoed any real free movement in capital or services". Blond thinks that if the EU made an offer on migration he suspects Theresa May's government "may well put it to the vote, either in another referendum or more likely in a snap general election where the PM decides to argue to stay in the EU".
Personally I think Blond is in cloud cuckoo land here, both on the likelihood of the EU making a renewed offer on migration and of May's government having a change of heart. As I've written before, the EU leadership is too stolid to grasp that the key to the organisation's survival is flexibility. After all, they didn't budge on migration when the referendum was hanging over them. And anyway can you imagine the uproar in the Tory party if May did a volte face?
Blond writes that "whilst Europe understands the perils of external migration and what importing hostile minorities might mean, (the UK working class) experienced internal EU migration as directly threatening their . . . economic security. . . Britain has functioned as the European employer of last resort as the Euro and German austerity have destroyed the labour markets for so many young Europeans. But for working class Britons this has meant a direct threat to their . . . livelihoods, which is why low skilled low educated people voted so heavily to leave the EU. If you want evidence of this - try to get served by a Briton in London, it's virtually impossible. All the waiting staff are charming, degree level educated Europeans, no wonder the white working class thought there was no working future for them in such a Europe".
Amen to that. And then, this being an interview in a French paper, Blond proceeds to stick the boot in to France.
"French secularism has been wholly incapable of engaging with and integrating its Muslim population. . . Even after all the dreadful massacres and killings in France you still have the French state insisting that Islamic radicalism is down to economic inequality which is an idealogical fiction wholly without any evidential basis . . . this blinds France to the issues it must confront".
Britain, on the other hand, "is not in the state of incipient civil war . . . (our) mixed constitution allows difference to be expressed and welcomed into the British social compact whereas France . . . allows no place for . . . the development of integrated identities . . . all difference is suppressed in the name of a generic identity . . . France's political identity is too brittle to incorporate others . . ."
I'm not sure he's right that Britain's more accommodating outlook has been a good thing. It also means we've let in a lot of people whose ethos sits uneasily, to put it mildly, with ours, without making any effort to assimilate them.
And then, pertinently, Blond has this interesting passage on the absolutism of Islam, as a contrast to the mediated thought of European Jews and Christians.
"But far too much of modern Islam is dangerous, because much of the modern Islamic mainstream has rejected its mystical or mediated elements and is therefore committed . . . to a form of absolutism which paradoxically is exactly what French secularism is - hence you have a conflict of the absolutes. In Britain we . . . deny any absolutism to politics. In the end though . . . Europe must rediscover its Greek, Jewish and Christian heritage - all of which thought through the absolute and created intermediate thinking that believe we knew but could never completely know the absolute".
I agree that Britain is a less absolutist country than France (the cry of the French intellectual - "This may work in practice; but does it work in theory?!"), but I don't think we are any better placed to engage with fundamentalist Islam - our tendency to try and accommodate, to muddle along just means we are less likely to confront it head on. To our cost.
Blond goes on to deplore Conservatism's fixation with liberalism - the me-first culture. Globalism hasn't helped either, for "the Western working (and lower middle) classes have not seen any real terms wage rises . . . for a generation, it's the . . . developing world and the very very rich of the West who have massively benefited from the liberal settlement . . . Indeed, coupled with mass migration and the license that social liberalism gives to it - not only are people hit economically but also socially and culturally. Traditional centuries-long identities are repudiated and ignored, and sectarian communities are imported and set up with little or no effort at integration. So it is a great relief to see Conservative party draw a line of distinction between neo-liberal policies of both left and right and to try to set up a conservative offer that seeks to create an inclusive and mutually self and other enhancing capitalism and the social and cultural bonds that such a system needs in order to function . . . (I think he's much too optimistic about conservatism here). Yes the working classes have been abandoned since the ascension of Mrs Thatcher, even then before Thatcherism the working classes were not well served by their advocates . . ., who began through social liberalism to take apart stable working class communities and attack the extended and the nuclear family as patriarchal and outmoded . . .
And on to the City, which Blond says "is a massive British financial asset but it does not really serve Britain as well as it might, it has no patriotic capital, no interest except in the centralization and arbitrage of money, and it has no wish or incentive in decentralizing capital to invest in the regions . . . outside of London. So a break with that model of the City would be most welcome and will I think occur".
"In a time of deep insecurity people's identities and cultures need protection and fostering, and part of this does mean the need to limit unprecedented levels of migration, some which is deeply hostile to European values . . . globalisation was hollowing out working class lives and . . . especially on the right we needed to talk about how to re-endow ordinary people with assets and wealth. I think social conservation and economic enfranchisement is the only political offer that can now win a majority and protect us against the extremists".
I think Blond has had it with social conservatism. Its decline started with Cathy Come Home and gay marriage (which I have come round to) is the final nail in its coffin. Personally there's a lot of this kind of thing I don't mind, but I'm not so daft as to think that the stuff I don't like can be put back in its box. It can't be, and perhaps shouldn't be.
Blond goes on to talk about multiculturalism, which he thinks will work as a gambit for the Left in London, but not outside, where "it will be a huge negative for the left and will lose it elections. The left basically needs a new answer to modern capitalism that isn't welfare or taxation. There is little sign anywhere in the world of it making this intellectual leap, so . . . it is hard to see a Labour comeback (in either the long or short term).
Here I think he is bang on the money. The left's answer to our problems is tax and spend, or in Jeremy Corbyn's case tax, spend, borrow and print. My own view is that this problem is insoluble for the left, and it's not so much a case of unwillingness to make the intellectual leap Blond talks about as unawareness that the leap needs to be made at all. As it is I don't know of anyone on either left or right who has a plausible way out of the left's dilemma, which is, essentially, that we can't afford our public services in an era when people tend to live on into their 80s.
Blond believes that had EU leaders like Juncker and Schulz behaved a bit more sensibly after the vote there might have been no need for Brexit at all. These EU mandarins pretty much killed off the Remain campaign with their hostility, he says. He points out that the much vaunted Four Freedoms (including freedom of movement) are far from absolute, and that France and Germany "have progressively vetoed any real free movement in capital or services". Blond thinks that if the EU made an offer on migration he suspects Theresa May's government "may well put it to the vote, either in another referendum or more likely in a snap general election where the PM decides to argue to stay in the EU".
Personally I think Blond is in cloud cuckoo land here, both on the likelihood of the EU making a renewed offer on migration and of May's government having a change of heart. As I've written before, the EU leadership is too stolid to grasp that the key to the organisation's survival is flexibility. After all, they didn't budge on migration when the referendum was hanging over them. And anyway can you imagine the uproar in the Tory party if May did a volte face?
Blond writes that "whilst Europe understands the perils of external migration and what importing hostile minorities might mean, (the UK working class) experienced internal EU migration as directly threatening their . . . economic security. . . Britain has functioned as the European employer of last resort as the Euro and German austerity have destroyed the labour markets for so many young Europeans. But for working class Britons this has meant a direct threat to their . . . livelihoods, which is why low skilled low educated people voted so heavily to leave the EU. If you want evidence of this - try to get served by a Briton in London, it's virtually impossible. All the waiting staff are charming, degree level educated Europeans, no wonder the white working class thought there was no working future for them in such a Europe".
Amen to that. And then, this being an interview in a French paper, Blond proceeds to stick the boot in to France.
"French secularism has been wholly incapable of engaging with and integrating its Muslim population. . . Even after all the dreadful massacres and killings in France you still have the French state insisting that Islamic radicalism is down to economic inequality which is an idealogical fiction wholly without any evidential basis . . . this blinds France to the issues it must confront".
Britain, on the other hand, "is not in the state of incipient civil war . . . (our) mixed constitution allows difference to be expressed and welcomed into the British social compact whereas France . . . allows no place for . . . the development of integrated identities . . . all difference is suppressed in the name of a generic identity . . . France's political identity is too brittle to incorporate others . . ."
I'm not sure he's right that Britain's more accommodating outlook has been a good thing. It also means we've let in a lot of people whose ethos sits uneasily, to put it mildly, with ours, without making any effort to assimilate them.
And then, pertinently, Blond has this interesting passage on the absolutism of Islam, as a contrast to the mediated thought of European Jews and Christians.
"But far too much of modern Islam is dangerous, because much of the modern Islamic mainstream has rejected its mystical or mediated elements and is therefore committed . . . to a form of absolutism which paradoxically is exactly what French secularism is - hence you have a conflict of the absolutes. In Britain we . . . deny any absolutism to politics. In the end though . . . Europe must rediscover its Greek, Jewish and Christian heritage - all of which thought through the absolute and created intermediate thinking that believe we knew but could never completely know the absolute".
I agree that Britain is a less absolutist country than France (the cry of the French intellectual - "This may work in practice; but does it work in theory?!"), but I don't think we are any better placed to engage with fundamentalist Islam - our tendency to try and accommodate, to muddle along just means we are less likely to confront it head on. To our cost.
Blond goes on to deplore Conservatism's fixation with liberalism - the me-first culture. Globalism hasn't helped either, for "the Western working (and lower middle) classes have not seen any real terms wage rises . . . for a generation, it's the . . . developing world and the very very rich of the West who have massively benefited from the liberal settlement . . . Indeed, coupled with mass migration and the license that social liberalism gives to it - not only are people hit economically but also socially and culturally. Traditional centuries-long identities are repudiated and ignored, and sectarian communities are imported and set up with little or no effort at integration. So it is a great relief to see Conservative party draw a line of distinction between neo-liberal policies of both left and right and to try to set up a conservative offer that seeks to create an inclusive and mutually self and other enhancing capitalism and the social and cultural bonds that such a system needs in order to function . . . (I think he's much too optimistic about conservatism here). Yes the working classes have been abandoned since the ascension of Mrs Thatcher, even then before Thatcherism the working classes were not well served by their advocates . . ., who began through social liberalism to take apart stable working class communities and attack the extended and the nuclear family as patriarchal and outmoded . . .
And on to the City, which Blond says "is a massive British financial asset but it does not really serve Britain as well as it might, it has no patriotic capital, no interest except in the centralization and arbitrage of money, and it has no wish or incentive in decentralizing capital to invest in the regions . . . outside of London. So a break with that model of the City would be most welcome and will I think occur".
"In a time of deep insecurity people's identities and cultures need protection and fostering, and part of this does mean the need to limit unprecedented levels of migration, some which is deeply hostile to European values . . . globalisation was hollowing out working class lives and . . . especially on the right we needed to talk about how to re-endow ordinary people with assets and wealth. I think social conservation and economic enfranchisement is the only political offer that can now win a majority and protect us against the extremists".
I think Blond has had it with social conservatism. Its decline started with Cathy Come Home and gay marriage (which I have come round to) is the final nail in its coffin. Personally there's a lot of this kind of thing I don't mind, but I'm not so daft as to think that the stuff I don't like can be put back in its box. It can't be, and perhaps shouldn't be.
Blond goes on to talk about multiculturalism, which he thinks will work as a gambit for the Left in London, but not outside, where "it will be a huge negative for the left and will lose it elections. The left basically needs a new answer to modern capitalism that isn't welfare or taxation. There is little sign anywhere in the world of it making this intellectual leap, so . . . it is hard to see a Labour comeback (in either the long or short term).
Here I think he is bang on the money. The left's answer to our problems is tax and spend, or in Jeremy Corbyn's case tax, spend, borrow and print. My own view is that this problem is insoluble for the left, and it's not so much a case of unwillingness to make the intellectual leap Blond talks about as unawareness that the leap needs to be made at all. As it is I don't know of anyone on either left or right who has a plausible way out of the left's dilemma, which is, essentially, that we can't afford our public services in an era when people tend to live on into their 80s.
Friday 21 October 2016
Not I, Daniel Blake
I won't be going to see the new Ken Loach film, I, Daniel Blake.
It's difficult in any story to know how much weight we should load onto a character. The vicious Indians in Larry McMurtry's wonderful Lonesome Dove, the treacherous Portuguese Jews in John Buchan, feckless Bertie Wooster, conniving Shylock, angry Othello - these are not intended, we tell ourselves, as exemplars of their race, religion or class. To see them as such is to rob the characters of individuality. And yet our suspicion remains that they stand totemically, inviting us to draw unappealing conclusions about their offstage peers.
In Loach's new film the eponymous hero is a good man recovering from a heart attack, who falls through the cracks of the benefits system despite his inability to work. According to the Times' four star review, Blake meets at every turn "pusillanimous jobsworths who can’t see beyond spreadsheets and questionnaires. They impassively grind him down, forcing him into a Kafta-esque form-filling nightmare and ultimately denying him his rightful state support."
What exactly is Loach's point? Is it that all benefit claimants are good and deserving? Possibly not. That Blake or the single mum he befriends are deserving may not be intended to reassure taxpaying cinema-goers that their money is well-spent. But if this isn't the aim, what is the point of the drama? To show what happened to these people and these people alone?
That seems unlikely, because the baddie in Loach's scenario is the benefits system itself, and the way that medically unqualified staff are cutting off the needy. Whilst you can argue that a bad screen Muslim, for example, does not stand for Muslims generally, the portrayal of a bad UK benefits system is effectively an allegation that our actual benefits system is bad. That's certainly what the Guardian thought Loach was doing. Peter Bradshaw's four star review thought the film showed "a system that is almost deliberately planned to create just those desperate, futile shouting matches in the benefits office that lead to sanctions and punishments".
And that may be so. I don't know, because I don't have any dealings with it. But I do know that some people defraud the system, and I know personally some people who have been on health-related benefits for years and who are cheating the rest of us. She is said to have an untreatable hernia. He is said to have an incapacitating back injury. In fact both are active, hale and hearty, and enjoying an early retirement at our expense. I should report them, I suppose.
I don't believe these are typical of the majority of benefit claimants. There will be some cheats always. But firstly our system, tight-fisted as it may be, has not yet succeeded in finding these two out. It will be even less able to do so when, partly because of pressure by the likes of Ken Loach, the government stops testing the long-term sick at all. Secondly, benefit tests are stringent for a reason. It is that Britain cannot afford its public spending. We are currently borrowing about one and a half billion pounds every week just to stay afloat. We cannot afford to pay people benefits who are not eligible for them.
What does Loach's film have to say about that? Does the budget deficit get a mention? Does Loach show any of the undeserving poor? Does it tell viewers that there are some areas of Glasgow where, extraordinarily, the majority of the working age population are on sickness benefit?
As I haven't seen the film I don't know. But I believe Loach doesn't show his protagonists having a drink. Or a smoke, or a bet, or an expensive satellite TV contract, or a mobile phone. I'll bet Loach keeps these things well away from the screen.
But back to The Merchant of Venice. Just as Shylock, Shakespeare might argue, doesn't stand for all Jews, the characters in I, Daniel Blake, Loach might say, don't stand for all benefit claimants. This argument is much harder to sustain where the institution grinding Blake's face into the dust is a real one. For if the benefits system Loach depicts isn't genuine, what is the point of his film? Daniel Blake was made to show that the system we have is farcically inhumane, and by failing to set out the economic context in which it functions, by failing to acknowledge the difficulties of restricting sickness benefits to those entitled to them and by showing benefit claimants as the bien-pensant middle class would love them to be - thrifty, sober, continent and hardworking - it surely loads the dice too predictably in Loach's favour for good art.
Please someone who has seen Loach's film write in and tell me I'm wrong. He isn't getting a penny from me.
P.S. "When Daniel fails the initial test by just a few arbitrarily conceived points", writes the Guardian's Peter Bradshaw, "you find yourself thinking, If only he wasn't so honest . . . But in so doing, he would become precisely that kind of TV stock figure, that Shameless or Benefits Street cheat whose presence in black comedy and reactionary political gossip justified the whole setup to begin with".
It's worth noting that Bradshaw's concern is not that Daniel should cheat, but that he should risk becoming a "kind of TV stock figure" in doing so. What are these stock figures? Shameless was fiction (although probably no less accurate than Loach's own fiction). Benefits Street showed real people. What is Bradshaw's point? Is he saying that there aren't any real benefit cheats? Or is he saying he doesn't want Loach to show anyone cheating in case people get the idea that, you know, there might be people actually out there doing it?
P.P.S. When I read that Loach's film was co-produced by BBC Films, I wanted to sink to the floor in despair. Am I the only person to think that the BBC would never have funded a film which focused on benefit cheats? That in an era where the Corporation is struggling to fight off a reputation for left of centre bias putting money behind Ken Loach's mouth might not have been the greatest of ideas?
It's difficult in any story to know how much weight we should load onto a character. The vicious Indians in Larry McMurtry's wonderful Lonesome Dove, the treacherous Portuguese Jews in John Buchan, feckless Bertie Wooster, conniving Shylock, angry Othello - these are not intended, we tell ourselves, as exemplars of their race, religion or class. To see them as such is to rob the characters of individuality. And yet our suspicion remains that they stand totemically, inviting us to draw unappealing conclusions about their offstage peers.
In Loach's new film the eponymous hero is a good man recovering from a heart attack, who falls through the cracks of the benefits system despite his inability to work. According to the Times' four star review, Blake meets at every turn "pusillanimous jobsworths who can’t see beyond spreadsheets and questionnaires. They impassively grind him down, forcing him into a Kafta-esque form-filling nightmare and ultimately denying him his rightful state support."
What exactly is Loach's point? Is it that all benefit claimants are good and deserving? Possibly not. That Blake or the single mum he befriends are deserving may not be intended to reassure taxpaying cinema-goers that their money is well-spent. But if this isn't the aim, what is the point of the drama? To show what happened to these people and these people alone?
That seems unlikely, because the baddie in Loach's scenario is the benefits system itself, and the way that medically unqualified staff are cutting off the needy. Whilst you can argue that a bad screen Muslim, for example, does not stand for Muslims generally, the portrayal of a bad UK benefits system is effectively an allegation that our actual benefits system is bad. That's certainly what the Guardian thought Loach was doing. Peter Bradshaw's four star review thought the film showed "a system that is almost deliberately planned to create just those desperate, futile shouting matches in the benefits office that lead to sanctions and punishments".
And that may be so. I don't know, because I don't have any dealings with it. But I do know that some people defraud the system, and I know personally some people who have been on health-related benefits for years and who are cheating the rest of us. She is said to have an untreatable hernia. He is said to have an incapacitating back injury. In fact both are active, hale and hearty, and enjoying an early retirement at our expense. I should report them, I suppose.
I don't believe these are typical of the majority of benefit claimants. There will be some cheats always. But firstly our system, tight-fisted as it may be, has not yet succeeded in finding these two out. It will be even less able to do so when, partly because of pressure by the likes of Ken Loach, the government stops testing the long-term sick at all. Secondly, benefit tests are stringent for a reason. It is that Britain cannot afford its public spending. We are currently borrowing about one and a half billion pounds every week just to stay afloat. We cannot afford to pay people benefits who are not eligible for them.
What does Loach's film have to say about that? Does the budget deficit get a mention? Does Loach show any of the undeserving poor? Does it tell viewers that there are some areas of Glasgow where, extraordinarily, the majority of the working age population are on sickness benefit?
As I haven't seen the film I don't know. But I believe Loach doesn't show his protagonists having a drink. Or a smoke, or a bet, or an expensive satellite TV contract, or a mobile phone. I'll bet Loach keeps these things well away from the screen.
But back to The Merchant of Venice. Just as Shylock, Shakespeare might argue, doesn't stand for all Jews, the characters in I, Daniel Blake, Loach might say, don't stand for all benefit claimants. This argument is much harder to sustain where the institution grinding Blake's face into the dust is a real one. For if the benefits system Loach depicts isn't genuine, what is the point of his film? Daniel Blake was made to show that the system we have is farcically inhumane, and by failing to set out the economic context in which it functions, by failing to acknowledge the difficulties of restricting sickness benefits to those entitled to them and by showing benefit claimants as the bien-pensant middle class would love them to be - thrifty, sober, continent and hardworking - it surely loads the dice too predictably in Loach's favour for good art.
Please someone who has seen Loach's film write in and tell me I'm wrong. He isn't getting a penny from me.
P.S. "When Daniel fails the initial test by just a few arbitrarily conceived points", writes the Guardian's Peter Bradshaw, "you find yourself thinking, If only he wasn't so honest . . . But in so doing, he would become precisely that kind of TV stock figure, that Shameless or Benefits Street cheat whose presence in black comedy and reactionary political gossip justified the whole setup to begin with".
It's worth noting that Bradshaw's concern is not that Daniel should cheat, but that he should risk becoming a "kind of TV stock figure" in doing so. What are these stock figures? Shameless was fiction (although probably no less accurate than Loach's own fiction). Benefits Street showed real people. What is Bradshaw's point? Is he saying that there aren't any real benefit cheats? Or is he saying he doesn't want Loach to show anyone cheating in case people get the idea that, you know, there might be people actually out there doing it?
P.P.S. When I read that Loach's film was co-produced by BBC Films, I wanted to sink to the floor in despair. Am I the only person to think that the BBC would never have funded a film which focused on benefit cheats? That in an era where the Corporation is struggling to fight off a reputation for left of centre bias putting money behind Ken Loach's mouth might not have been the greatest of ideas?
Monday 17 October 2016
The Highland Clearances
As a long-time Hibernophile my view of the tragedy of the Highland clearances was formed by reading John Prebble's famous book in the 1970s. It's a devastating narrative of greed and displacement. In some coastal places you can still see the Black houses, so-called because the tenants were said to have been burned out by avaricious southern landlords.
I'm used to the idea that most of the iconic ideas about Scottish history are more or less bunkum, a phenomenon that finds its locus classicus in the 1745 Jacobite rebellion. Bonnie Prince Charlie was not the heir to the throne; he was the son of the heir. He spoke neither English or Gaelic; his first language was Italian. The conflict which followed his landing was not an English / Scottish one; it is better described as a Stuart / Hanoverian, or Catholic / Protestant or Lowland / Highland one. Many of the chieftains who fought with Charles did so reluctantly (as did many of their clansmen). More Scots fought on the government side at Culloden than on that of the rebels.
And so on and so forth. That hasn't stopped the conflict being cast in the popular mind as a product of English wickedness (largely because of the reprisals exacted on the Highlands by the vengeful Hanoverian goverment in London). No doubt it exerts a tendentious mental sway on the Independence movement even today.
But surely the Clearances - that really happened? No?
Well, yes and no. I've just been reading The Highland Clearances by Australian historian Eric Richards, and it's an eye-opener for everyone interested in Scotland, and in this subject. The Clearances did take place, but not in the manner or for the reasons that a resentful national myth perpetuates.
Contrary to popular belief -
- An idyllic agrarian community did not exist in the glens until disrupted by landlords; in fact Highlanders often lived in squalid conditions beset by poverty and famine.
- The property did not belong to the tenants, but to the landlord, who was entitled to remove them upon giving proper notice. Such notice was generally a year.
- The tenants had generally not held their land since time immemorial - on the contrary there was significant turnover.
- Almost always due notice to quit was given.
- In some cases tenants were given years to prepare for removal.
- Many of the people cleared were squatters who had no right to be there.
- In many cases landlords were owed significant arrears of rent, which was often waived upon clearance.
- In some cases landlords spent thousands of pounds providing alternative land by the coasts.
- In many cases landlords spent thousands of pounds trying to set up alternative industries such as fishing and kelp farming.
- Most clearances were not accompanied by violence.
- Property was destroyed or burned after evictions to prevent tenants returning, rather than in order to force them to leave in the first place.
- The only person tried for violent evictions - Patrick Sellar - was accused by a man he had previously caught poaching. Sellar was acquitted by an Inverness jury.
- Many people left the land voluntarily because they could not make a living. One contemporary writer said that even if the land had been given rent free, it would have been impossible to make a decent living there. Even today it is very hard to get by in the Highlands.
- Almost all the landlords were Scots, as were the overwhelming majority of sheep-farmers who replaced the tenants. Some of these were men from the Lowlands, but a significant minority were themselves Highlanders. Almost none of them were English.
- The most significant English participant, the Earl of Stafford, came into the story only because he married the Countess of Sutherland. The Countess had plans for "improvement" but lacked the means to carry them out. Her new husband was wealthy, and together they ploughed what were then vast sums of money (from England, for what it's worth) into the Sutherland estates, believing that new coastal communities would benefit both the estate and the tenants. The Duke and Duchess were horrified by allegations of Patrick Sellar's brutality and he was sacked. The bulk of the money invested was never recovered and by 1820 it had become apparent that the resettlement schemes were a failure.
Of course what is immediately obvious from the above list is that although, for example, "in some cases tenants were given years to prepare for removal", in some cases they weren't. That would also go for removal by violence. Some tenants were violently removed. But overall the picture I have had for years, one in which all landlords behaved dreadfully, is refuted. They did not. They often did their incompetent best in impossible circumstances. The tragedy for the tenants was that there were few other places to go, other than the big cities or, often, Canada.
Moreover the picture Richards paints is of a landscape beset by poverty (as was much of rural Europe), the burden of which in the Highlands fell on the landlord, who was expected to care for his tenants in hard times. And this, incidentally, goes to what I felt was a weakness in the book. Here is a society where the old feudal system of mutual obligation is breaking down. The idea that the relationship with a tenant is a commercial rather than patriarchal one is a modern one. Nowadays for example we are quite used to the idea of a landlord seeking to regain control over his property after giving due notice to quit. Not so in the late 18th century. Where did this modern idea derive? What did people think of it at the time, and how was it formulated?
Nevertheless this is a fascinating story, and a neat marginal destruction of another small piece of the SNP's intellectual jigsaw.
I'm used to the idea that most of the iconic ideas about Scottish history are more or less bunkum, a phenomenon that finds its locus classicus in the 1745 Jacobite rebellion. Bonnie Prince Charlie was not the heir to the throne; he was the son of the heir. He spoke neither English or Gaelic; his first language was Italian. The conflict which followed his landing was not an English / Scottish one; it is better described as a Stuart / Hanoverian, or Catholic / Protestant or Lowland / Highland one. Many of the chieftains who fought with Charles did so reluctantly (as did many of their clansmen). More Scots fought on the government side at Culloden than on that of the rebels.
And so on and so forth. That hasn't stopped the conflict being cast in the popular mind as a product of English wickedness (largely because of the reprisals exacted on the Highlands by the vengeful Hanoverian goverment in London). No doubt it exerts a tendentious mental sway on the Independence movement even today.
But surely the Clearances - that really happened? No?
Well, yes and no. I've just been reading The Highland Clearances by Australian historian Eric Richards, and it's an eye-opener for everyone interested in Scotland, and in this subject. The Clearances did take place, but not in the manner or for the reasons that a resentful national myth perpetuates.
Contrary to popular belief -
- An idyllic agrarian community did not exist in the glens until disrupted by landlords; in fact Highlanders often lived in squalid conditions beset by poverty and famine.
- The property did not belong to the tenants, but to the landlord, who was entitled to remove them upon giving proper notice. Such notice was generally a year.
- The tenants had generally not held their land since time immemorial - on the contrary there was significant turnover.
- Almost always due notice to quit was given.
- In some cases tenants were given years to prepare for removal.
- Many of the people cleared were squatters who had no right to be there.
- In many cases landlords were owed significant arrears of rent, which was often waived upon clearance.
- In some cases landlords spent thousands of pounds providing alternative land by the coasts.
- In many cases landlords spent thousands of pounds trying to set up alternative industries such as fishing and kelp farming.
- Most clearances were not accompanied by violence.
- Property was destroyed or burned after evictions to prevent tenants returning, rather than in order to force them to leave in the first place.
- The only person tried for violent evictions - Patrick Sellar - was accused by a man he had previously caught poaching. Sellar was acquitted by an Inverness jury.
- Many people left the land voluntarily because they could not make a living. One contemporary writer said that even if the land had been given rent free, it would have been impossible to make a decent living there. Even today it is very hard to get by in the Highlands.
- Almost all the landlords were Scots, as were the overwhelming majority of sheep-farmers who replaced the tenants. Some of these were men from the Lowlands, but a significant minority were themselves Highlanders. Almost none of them were English.
- The most significant English participant, the Earl of Stafford, came into the story only because he married the Countess of Sutherland. The Countess had plans for "improvement" but lacked the means to carry them out. Her new husband was wealthy, and together they ploughed what were then vast sums of money (from England, for what it's worth) into the Sutherland estates, believing that new coastal communities would benefit both the estate and the tenants. The Duke and Duchess were horrified by allegations of Patrick Sellar's brutality and he was sacked. The bulk of the money invested was never recovered and by 1820 it had become apparent that the resettlement schemes were a failure.
Of course what is immediately obvious from the above list is that although, for example, "in some cases tenants were given years to prepare for removal", in some cases they weren't. That would also go for removal by violence. Some tenants were violently removed. But overall the picture I have had for years, one in which all landlords behaved dreadfully, is refuted. They did not. They often did their incompetent best in impossible circumstances. The tragedy for the tenants was that there were few other places to go, other than the big cities or, often, Canada.
Moreover the picture Richards paints is of a landscape beset by poverty (as was much of rural Europe), the burden of which in the Highlands fell on the landlord, who was expected to care for his tenants in hard times. And this, incidentally, goes to what I felt was a weakness in the book. Here is a society where the old feudal system of mutual obligation is breaking down. The idea that the relationship with a tenant is a commercial rather than patriarchal one is a modern one. Nowadays for example we are quite used to the idea of a landlord seeking to regain control over his property after giving due notice to quit. Not so in the late 18th century. Where did this modern idea derive? What did people think of it at the time, and how was it formulated?
Nevertheless this is a fascinating story, and a neat marginal destruction of another small piece of the SNP's intellectual jigsaw.
Call me Ali? OK, no problem
A salutary tale.
Last week I needed to order some expensive domestic goods. A friend steered me in the direction of an Ebay seller in Yorkshire who flogs these items refurbished, significantly cheaper than new. I phoned the mobile number on the website, and after a few minutes conversation found I had ordered two items. "You can pay by bank transfer", said the pleasant young man. "If you drop me an email confirming the order I'll send you my bank details". He gave me his email address, which was an Asian-sounding name followed by google.com. "That's me", he said, "but call me Ali. They all do".
A little later it occurred to me that I was about to wire £500 to someone I hadn't met and who didn't even have his own website. So I googled Ali's name, which took me to a page on social media which was clearly that of the same guy. You could tell, because amongst the other stuff on the page were some images concerning a kitchen supply business in Yorks.
Feeling a bit of a voyeur (although of course this stuff was publicly available) I scrolled down the photos and posts. They showed a nice looking young British Asian man with a delightful looking baby daughter. No pictures of Mrs Ali. Quite a lot of stuff about the Hajj pilgrimage, which he seemed to have made. Then things got a bit darker. An unpleasant caricature of Tony Blair with the word "Murderer" written across his forehead. A heroic reference to George Galloway. Some fiery looking Islamic preachers. And finally, inevitably, some stuff about Jews. To be fair, most of it about Israel, but also about Jews, and a hateful picture of one of the Rothschilds lined up alongside the evil Mr Burns from The Simpsons. Something about funding all world wars.
No reference to ISIL's crimes against humanity. No indication of contact with wider non-Muslim British society.
I sent an email to Ali saying I didn't want to go through with the purchase. "To be clear", I wrote, "I’m not Jewish and I think Israel has often treated the Palestinians shamefully. On the other hand I know from many conversations with Jews over the years that there is a clear distinction between Zionism and Judaism which some people, both inside and outside the Muslim world, don’t make sufficiently clearly, where they’re willing to make it at all. I don’t really want to do business with someone like that. Sorry."
(I wish now I'd also written, "I would have done just the same thing if there'd been Islamophobic comments.")
Back came the laconic reply: "OK, no problem".
Now I need to go and find another, more expensive, kitchen supply company.
Last week I needed to order some expensive domestic goods. A friend steered me in the direction of an Ebay seller in Yorkshire who flogs these items refurbished, significantly cheaper than new. I phoned the mobile number on the website, and after a few minutes conversation found I had ordered two items. "You can pay by bank transfer", said the pleasant young man. "If you drop me an email confirming the order I'll send you my bank details". He gave me his email address, which was an Asian-sounding name followed by google.com. "That's me", he said, "but call me Ali. They all do".
A little later it occurred to me that I was about to wire £500 to someone I hadn't met and who didn't even have his own website. So I googled Ali's name, which took me to a page on social media which was clearly that of the same guy. You could tell, because amongst the other stuff on the page were some images concerning a kitchen supply business in Yorks.
Feeling a bit of a voyeur (although of course this stuff was publicly available) I scrolled down the photos and posts. They showed a nice looking young British Asian man with a delightful looking baby daughter. No pictures of Mrs Ali. Quite a lot of stuff about the Hajj pilgrimage, which he seemed to have made. Then things got a bit darker. An unpleasant caricature of Tony Blair with the word "Murderer" written across his forehead. A heroic reference to George Galloway. Some fiery looking Islamic preachers. And finally, inevitably, some stuff about Jews. To be fair, most of it about Israel, but also about Jews, and a hateful picture of one of the Rothschilds lined up alongside the evil Mr Burns from The Simpsons. Something about funding all world wars.
No reference to ISIL's crimes against humanity. No indication of contact with wider non-Muslim British society.
I sent an email to Ali saying I didn't want to go through with the purchase. "To be clear", I wrote, "I’m not Jewish and I think Israel has often treated the Palestinians shamefully. On the other hand I know from many conversations with Jews over the years that there is a clear distinction between Zionism and Judaism which some people, both inside and outside the Muslim world, don’t make sufficiently clearly, where they’re willing to make it at all. I don’t really want to do business with someone like that. Sorry."
(I wish now I'd also written, "I would have done just the same thing if there'd been Islamophobic comments.")
Back came the laconic reply: "OK, no problem".
Now I need to go and find another, more expensive, kitchen supply company.
Wednesday 12 October 2016
Brexit reflections #13 - how not to negotiate
I owe Sir Keir Starmer, the new Labour MP for Holborn and St Pancras, a great deal. He is an old friend of my wife's, and it's probably true to say that I would not be married to her without his involvement in a case I helped with when he was a junior barrister and I was a young composer moonlighting as a solicitor's outdoor clerk.
In his capacity as Shadow Brexit Secretary Sir Keir is pressing the Government for parliamentary scrutiny of negotiations. This is fine until you start to think about the practicalities.
In any negotiation the sensible starting position is miles away from where you're willing to end up. Britain's opening position in Brexit talks will bear only superficial resemblance to the negotiated result. If I'm right about this, what will be the point of parliamentary approval or discussion? What attitude should HMG take? "Don't worry chaps, this isn't what we really think. This is just our opening gambit, and we'll settle for anything which gives us full access to the single market"? Or should the Government have to defend a position to which it has no intention of sticking?
No doubt when agreement finally limps into view there will be calls for Parliamentary endorsement. So what do we do if the Government is unable to command a majority? Do we go to Mrs Merkel and say, "Sorry Angela, but you know this deal we've spent years negotiating - we're going to have to start again because parliament doesn't like it"?
Even if Parliament did approve a draft agreement, what if the Lords, stuffed with Lib Dem peers and overwhelmingly hostile to Brexit, keep the issue ping-ponging back and forth with an eye on the 2020 election and the chance to scupper Leave once and for all?
Parliamentary approval at any stage is unworkable where not actually counter-productive. Parliament wants to get involved because even Tory MPs cannot bear to be sidelined on the issue.
But hold on, you say, Parliament is the law-making body in this country. How can the Government do something as fundamental as this without getting Parliamentary endorsement? Well there's the Royal Prerogative, for starters. But in any event the Tories have a mandate. Their 2015 manifesto said that they'd have an In-Out referendum. If Leave won, who did Remainers - inside and outside Parliament - think was going to handle negotiations? The Greens? The Lib Dems? The inference that it would be the Tories doing so is the only reasonable one available.
As for Labour, how can they argue that they deserve the right to interfere with a process they didn't mention in their manifesto and would have stopped outright if they could?
The Tories have a mandate to secure Brexit on the best terms they possibly can according to their own judgment. Politicians and pundits may not like this, but it is the only practicable way available.
Why? Please consider what would happen if, at any stage in the process, there was a vote and the Government was defeated. That would be because they were outnumbered by Labour, the SNP and the Lib Dems. Did any of those parties promise a referendum if they were elected to govern? No. To be clear, the will of the people, as expressed in both the referendum and in the 2015 general election, would have been thwarted by MPs with no mandate whatsoever in either forum.
The sovereignty of Parliament has been much invoked in the aftermath, as if that institution were the only source of legitimacy, but pardoxically in this situation I can't think of any better way to bring Parliament into disrepute.
Labour's new Shadow Secretary of State for Exiting the EU has made the mistake of assuming that because there's something unsatisfactory about the Government's mandate for the specifics of Brexit (and clearly it's not ideal to say the least) there must somewhere be a perfect way of dealing with it. There may be (although I can't think of one), but the way Sir Keir proposes is actually less democratic and therefore worse.
Of course, that doesn't mean that Parliamentary scrutiny won't happen. It will. The Tory majority is too small, and God knows the party has enough dim and fractious MPs. Brexit terms will be debated in Parliament, the whole business will be a dog's breakfast of interference and we will get a worse deal as a result.
Many years ago I used to play 5-a-side football against Sir Keir. My abiding memory is of his footsteps approaching at speed: if you got the ball, he would be coming, and if you lingered long enough he would take it off you. I've got no doubt that Theresa May will hear his footsteps coming too, for Keir is a person whose brains and charisma put him in a different league to any Labour politician since Blair.
Brains and charisma aren't the only qualities a politician needs though. Amongst many others, there's also judgment.
PS You can see, incidentally, the way this is going to go by Newsnight's report last night that HMG is willing to pay very significant contributions to the EU in order to retain unfettered single market access. HMG's negotiating position is going to be undermined at every turn, and not just by Parliament.
PPS The financial markets have a reputation for seeing straight to the unsentimental core of politics. How is this? A sixth-former could see that May's Hard Brexit rehetoric is merely the outer skin of the onion. If I had dollars I'd be buying as many pounds as I could afford. At some point it's going to occur to currency traders that maybe the government's position is not quite as tough as it looks.
In his capacity as Shadow Brexit Secretary Sir Keir is pressing the Government for parliamentary scrutiny of negotiations. This is fine until you start to think about the practicalities.
In any negotiation the sensible starting position is miles away from where you're willing to end up. Britain's opening position in Brexit talks will bear only superficial resemblance to the negotiated result. If I'm right about this, what will be the point of parliamentary approval or discussion? What attitude should HMG take? "Don't worry chaps, this isn't what we really think. This is just our opening gambit, and we'll settle for anything which gives us full access to the single market"? Or should the Government have to defend a position to which it has no intention of sticking?
No doubt when agreement finally limps into view there will be calls for Parliamentary endorsement. So what do we do if the Government is unable to command a majority? Do we go to Mrs Merkel and say, "Sorry Angela, but you know this deal we've spent years negotiating - we're going to have to start again because parliament doesn't like it"?
Even if Parliament did approve a draft agreement, what if the Lords, stuffed with Lib Dem peers and overwhelmingly hostile to Brexit, keep the issue ping-ponging back and forth with an eye on the 2020 election and the chance to scupper Leave once and for all?
Parliamentary approval at any stage is unworkable where not actually counter-productive. Parliament wants to get involved because even Tory MPs cannot bear to be sidelined on the issue.
But hold on, you say, Parliament is the law-making body in this country. How can the Government do something as fundamental as this without getting Parliamentary endorsement? Well there's the Royal Prerogative, for starters. But in any event the Tories have a mandate. Their 2015 manifesto said that they'd have an In-Out referendum. If Leave won, who did Remainers - inside and outside Parliament - think was going to handle negotiations? The Greens? The Lib Dems? The inference that it would be the Tories doing so is the only reasonable one available.
As for Labour, how can they argue that they deserve the right to interfere with a process they didn't mention in their manifesto and would have stopped outright if they could?
The Tories have a mandate to secure Brexit on the best terms they possibly can according to their own judgment. Politicians and pundits may not like this, but it is the only practicable way available.
Why? Please consider what would happen if, at any stage in the process, there was a vote and the Government was defeated. That would be because they were outnumbered by Labour, the SNP and the Lib Dems. Did any of those parties promise a referendum if they were elected to govern? No. To be clear, the will of the people, as expressed in both the referendum and in the 2015 general election, would have been thwarted by MPs with no mandate whatsoever in either forum.
The sovereignty of Parliament has been much invoked in the aftermath, as if that institution were the only source of legitimacy, but pardoxically in this situation I can't think of any better way to bring Parliament into disrepute.
Labour's new Shadow Secretary of State for Exiting the EU has made the mistake of assuming that because there's something unsatisfactory about the Government's mandate for the specifics of Brexit (and clearly it's not ideal to say the least) there must somewhere be a perfect way of dealing with it. There may be (although I can't think of one), but the way Sir Keir proposes is actually less democratic and therefore worse.
Of course, that doesn't mean that Parliamentary scrutiny won't happen. It will. The Tory majority is too small, and God knows the party has enough dim and fractious MPs. Brexit terms will be debated in Parliament, the whole business will be a dog's breakfast of interference and we will get a worse deal as a result.
Many years ago I used to play 5-a-side football against Sir Keir. My abiding memory is of his footsteps approaching at speed: if you got the ball, he would be coming, and if you lingered long enough he would take it off you. I've got no doubt that Theresa May will hear his footsteps coming too, for Keir is a person whose brains and charisma put him in a different league to any Labour politician since Blair.
Brains and charisma aren't the only qualities a politician needs though. Amongst many others, there's also judgment.
PS You can see, incidentally, the way this is going to go by Newsnight's report last night that HMG is willing to pay very significant contributions to the EU in order to retain unfettered single market access. HMG's negotiating position is going to be undermined at every turn, and not just by Parliament.
PPS The financial markets have a reputation for seeing straight to the unsentimental core of politics. How is this? A sixth-former could see that May's Hard Brexit rehetoric is merely the outer skin of the onion. If I had dollars I'd be buying as many pounds as I could afford. At some point it's going to occur to currency traders that maybe the government's position is not quite as tough as it looks.
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